David Fuller and Eoin Treacy's Comment of the Day
Category - Autonomies

    Email of the day on a range versus a base

    When I see/read that Glaxo's shares have been ranging for 20 years, I can't help but be reminded by your service's maxim that, ranges are explosions waiting to happen." After 20 years, one must wonder when and in what direction will we see the explosion?

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    Top 25 Psychiatric Medications for 2020

    This article from psychcentral.com may be of interest. Here is a section: 

    Psychiatric medications are a crucial part of treatment for many mental health conditions, helping to ease symptoms and boost mental well-being. But there are some more commonly prescribed.

    Mental health conditions are complex. Just one medication will help in some cases. Other times, you might try a few different medications before finding the right one or even need more than one medication.

    Psychiatric medications are an important part of many people’s treatment plans, including therapy and other strategies. While they can’t cure your mental health condition, they can help manage your symptoms.

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    CATL Says New Super Strong Battery May Power Electric Flight

    This article from Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section: 

    China’s Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd., known as CATL, unveiled its strongest battery to date Wednesday, saying that it could one day be used to power electric aircraft.  

    The battery, which loads more power into a smaller package, has an energy density of 500 watt-hours per kilogram, CATL’s Chief Scientist Wu Kai said during a presentation at the Shanghai auto show. CATL’s most recent battery, called Qilin, has an energy density of 255 Wh/kg and can power an electric vehicle for 1,000 kilometers (620 miles) on one charge. 

    The technology, which CATL calls a condensed state battery, is potentially a breakthrough that will help electrify sectors wed to fossil fuels because existing batteries are either too heavy or unsafe. Still, questions remain about the materials it will use, its cost and ultimate market impact.
     

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    LVMH's Value Nears $500 Billion, Enters World's Top 10

    This article from Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section: 

    LVMH, Europe’s largest company by market value, has now made it to the world’s top 10.

    A first-quarter sales beat sparked a 5% increase in the share price Thursday, giving the luxury powerhouse a 29% rally for the year. That, along with a gain in the euro against the dollar, lifted LVMH’s market capitalization to $486 billion, briefly ranking it as the world’s 10th-biggest company. Should it reach $500 billion, it would become the first European company to achieve that milestone.

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    Just How Dangerous Are India's Generic Drugs? Very

    This article for Bloomberg may be of interest. Here is a section: 

    It shouldn’t have taken more deaths for Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s administration to act. The red flags have been there for years. What’s lacking is political will, and transparency. The FDA publishes different reviews of new drug applications on its website, along with detailed notes. The European Medical Agency gives similarly expansive information. There is no such openness in India.

    As Thakur explained to me, the pharmaceutical industry is India’s manufacturing success story, providing a major source of foreign exchange and soft power. Any criticism is seen through the lens of nationalism, he said, and framed as defaming the industry. So why does contamination with such deadly substances occur so regularly? “The simple answer is that Indian pharmaceutical companies quite often fail to test either the raw materials or the final formulation before shipping it to market,” Thakur said.

    India relies on the weak oversight of developing countries that make up the bulk of its exports — that’s how it can continue to push substandard and often deadly medicines there. As a paper on the Gambia poisonings published in March by the CDC noted, “inadequate regulatory structures make the sale of medications from international markets an especially high-risk activity in low-resource settings.” But what about countries with supposedly strong regulatory systems, like the US? This latest scare should prompt further reform of the FDA’s overseas inspections regime.

    In the absence of a global framework for pharmaceutical safety, what can be done to make the generic drugs that consumers around the world have come to rely on safer and effective? For a start, the WHO’s prequalification program, which facilitates the purchase of billions of dollars’ worth of medicines through international agencies such as Unicef, must be overhauled. Then there’s the question of holding these companies to account for the harm they cause inside and outside India via legal avenues and victim’s compensation.

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    China Says Willing to Help Airbus Deepen Presence in Nation

    This note may be of interest. 

    China is willing to maintain close communication with Airbus and help it deepen its China presence, Zheng Shanjie, head of the National Development and Reform Commission, told Airbus Chief Executive Guillaume Faury during a meeting in Beijing, according to an NDRC statement.

    China will provide broad opportunities for Airbus and other multinational companies to develop in the country: Zheng.

    Separately, Civil Aviation Administration of China chief Song Zhiyong also met with Faury in Beijing, according to a statement.

    They exchanged in-depth views on Airbus’ business development in China and strengthening cooperation in aviation safety, airworthiness certification, green development, digital transformation.

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    LVMH, Hermes Climb to Record Highs as Luxury Lifts Europe Again

    This article from Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here isa section: 

    LVMH shares rise to a record high, contributing most to gains in the French and European indexes on Friday as analysts upgrade their estimates for the French luxury behemoth. Peer Hermes International also hits an all-time peak.

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    Email of the day on the Autonomies fund

    Hi, I don't understand when you say that you are "reweighting" the Autonomies portfolio.

    Is this an investment fund managed by you?

    Thanks in advance.

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    Email of the day on secular change and the Autonomies

    Dear Eoin, When you started the Corporate Autonomies Fund it was based on the correct hypothesis that globalisation was the future trend and therefore it was wise to invest in companies that had, or would have, a global footprint. Now it seems that there is a trend away from globalisation and towards the repatriation of national production. What does this mean for the fund and for our investment strategy?

    And

    Thanks for consequential audio Friday in both content and timing. Overlaying today with 2007-09 is key at this time.

    Your focus on the 1980 - 2022 bull market in bonds I found spot on and would like a little more commentary on that. The bubbles of housing (2007) and technology (2000) have been put away but Japan (1990) has not. We've punctured a rather big bubble. How do you see this playing out moving forward as far as global U.S. Treasury ownership is concerned in scope (range in long rates) and timing (years to repair damage) considering how many bonds are and will stay underwater if not sold? It took U.S. stocks 25 years to unwind the 1929 bubble and Japan is 33 and counting.

    Considering the bond bubble is arguably the mother of all bubbles this side of 1929 and 1980 I would find it helpful to at least make a run at how it ranks in the standings.

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