Alex Seagle's Contrary Investor: "Light - God's Eldest Daughter"
Folks, the Pentagon has a lot of lights! It is the largest office building in the world, with some 6.5 million square feet in total. Independent tests done by the government suggest the retrofit to LEDs will result in:
o 22 percent reduction in energy usage, with improved light quality
o Payback on investment of less than four years
o Additional and ongoing savings from reduced maintenance costs, and reduced loads on cooling systems
o Elimination of mercury-laden fluorescent bulbs
o 140 tons of CO2 emissions per year eliminated
Adoption of LED lighting seems to be accelerating, sitting squarely at the intersection of highly desired green and socially-responsible technology, and the funding needed to really, truly launch the technology, thanks in large part to President Obama's American Recovery and Reinvestment Plan.
Typically, new technologies take 10 years or more to flourish, if they ever do at all. LEDs, in my humble opinion, represent the future of energy-efficient lighting, and that future is pretty close to now.
David Fuller's view The Contrary Investor also has a feature
on "The Search for a Disconnect", discussing a tasty non-correlated
asset, and also a 'blood in the street's contrarian recommendation.
Alex
Seagle also organises the excellent Contrary
Opinion Forum, now in its 48th year. I look forward to meeting subscribers
at this relaxed and enjoyable event in October. There was plenty of controversy
when I last participated in the Contrary Opinion Forum in 2008 and I suspect
there will be more in 2010.
What about the share mentioned in the section on LEDs?
It
is Cree Inc (p&f, monthly,
weekly & daily)
- a spectacular performer up until April when it became quite overextended relative
to its MA. It has seen a correction towards its rising MA and should resume
its relative strength when the present stock market correction has ended. Cree
is not cheap at an estimated PER of 40 and it has yet to pay a dividend. However
earnings are rising rapidly. Cree is listed on the Philadelphia Semiconductors
Index.