Article on investment trust discounts
And where discounts are wide, it's dangerous to rule out their predictive quality. The recent widening of the discount on top-performing trust BlackRock World Mining to 17 per cent, for example, is a great buying opportunity for commodity bulls who believe a strong market is set to continue. But for those investors spooked by the recent withdrawal of stimulus in China and the potential effect on demand for commodities, such a discount will look entirely justified. Moreover, discounts normally persist and widen if anticipated NAV falls come through. Discounts can also reflect particular problems in certain sectors, such as the illiquidity of the constituents of the smaller company investment trust sector.
David Fuller's view I agree much more with the article headline 
 than all the cautioning caveats contained in the text. I have always liked investment 
 trusts (closed-end funds) mainly because they usually trade at discounts to 
 net asset value (NAV). To my simple mind, if I like the market or sector covered 
 and can buy 1£ or 1$ for 90p or 90¢, or better, then that is a reasonably 
 good way to play the market. Also, investment trusts usually have lower management 
 costs, if only because they have been around longer. Also, I like being able 
 to avoid front-end loads and punitive exit charges.
I know 
 that it is normal for investment trusts to trade at discounts to NAV. That is 
 why it can be a good idea to sell them when they occasionally move to premiums, 
 possibly signalling that the market may have become too popular. I suspect that 
 some of today's remarkably deep discounts to NAV have less to do with the absence 
 of 'trustbusters' - a good thing in my view - than fear following two savage 
 bear markets within a decade. 
Investment 
 crowds have always been manic-depressive. Despite the global stock market recovery 
 to date, depressive sentiments can be detected not far beneath the surface of 
 this cyclical bull market. Consequently some bargains remain out there, including 
 in the investment trust sector. I would be interested in any similar coverage 
 of the USA's closed-end funds, if any subscriber happens to see it.
For the 
 record, three of the investment trusts mentioned are in my personal long-term 
 investment portfolio: BlackRock World Mining 
 (BRWM LN) (where I also opened a leveraged long trade in January), Aberdeen 
 New Thai (ANW LN) and JPMorgan Indian 
 (JII LN). I also hold Aberdeen New Dawn 
 (ABD LN) although it is not listed in the table because the discount to NAV 
 is currently only 9%. I may open an additional trading long in one or two of 
 the others in the table, probably favouring Europe or the UK, because recent 
 devaluations of the euro and sterling will help exporters and make these markets 
 cheaper for investors in currencies that are stronger at present. However I 
 have yet to study them all and I wanted to post the list immediately, so that 
 any of you who may also be interested in investment trusts can commence your 
 own due diligence.