Asian Currencies Gain, Led by Ringgit, Won, on Export Recovery
Asian currencies strengthened, led by Malaysia's ringgit and the South Korean won, as signs economic growth is gathering pace in the region attracted global investors.
China today reported the biggest increase in exports for three years, fueling speculation the yuan will be allowed to resume appreciation. Stock markets in Taiwan, India and South Korea have each taken in more than $1 billion from abroad since the start of last week, exchange data show.
"Asian currencies are all doing quite well today as stock markets are rising and triggering inflows," said Ho Woei Chen, a regional economist at United Overseas Bank Ltd. in Singapore. "China's February exports have very important implications for the yuan and rest of Asia."
The Malaysian ringgit appreciated 0.6 percent to 3.3220 per dollar as of 4:30 p.m. in Kuala Lumpur, earlier touching an 18- month high of 3.3135. The won climbed 0.3 percent to 1130.93, near its strongest level in seven weeks. The Indonesian rupiah gained 0.3 percent to 9,183.
China's February overseas sales rose 45.7 percent from the same month last year, beating all but two of 28 economist estimates in a Bloomberg survey. The yuan has been kept stable versus the dollar since July 2008 to support exports, drawing criticism from the U.S. and Europe who say an undervalued currency gives Chinese exporters an unfair advantage
Eoin Treacy's view There has been a great deal of
talk about the strength of the US Dollar, but this is to take a somewhat myopic
view concentrated more on Euro and Pound spot rates rather the wider global
market. Asian currencies in particular are showing considerable relative strength
when compared to the US Dollar.
The
Euro Trade Weighted Index broke the yearlong
progression of rising major reaction lows in January and recently found support
in the region of 132, from which is continues to unwind the short-term oversold
condition. However, it would need to sustain a move above 137 to indicate demand
is regaining the upper hand beyond a short-term relief rally.
The
Pound Trade Weighted Index rallied from
near 70 in January 2009 and has sustained a progression of higher reaction lows
since. However, the current pullback is testing that sequence and an upward
dynamic is now required to check potential for a further weakness.
The
Asian Dollar Index remains in a consistent
uptrend and recently found support in the region of the 200-day moving average.
It is currently testing the upper side of the six-month range and a downward
dynamic would be required to question scope for a successful upward break.
The
Australian and Canadian
Trade Weighted indices are also breaking upwards to new recovery highs, demonstrating
that the major currency theme at present is Euro weakness and comparative strength
in Asia and commodity producing countries rather than any particular strength
in the US Dollar.