Browning Newsletter on Climate, Behavior, and Commodities
Comment of the Day

September 21 2012

Commentary by David Fuller

Browning Newsletter on Climate, Behavior, and Commodities

My thanks to Alex Seagle of Fraser Management Associates, Publishers of this fascinating letter, written by Evelyn Browning Garriss. Here is a brief sample:
Climate, MJOs and Hurricanes

One climate event, even one as massive as over a million square miles of warmer ocean waters, is not the sole factor shaping the global climate. To understand the upcoming fall and winter for North America, one has to look at a number of factors shaping the climate. Basically, to understand natural climate change, you have to follow the energy.

• How much solar radiation the earth receives - The sun provides the energy that runs the weather system. Currently the sun is reaching the peak of a sunspot cycle. According to Thomas Woods, solar scientist at the University of Colorado in Boulder, this supplies enough energy to temporarily raise global temperatures 0.1?C (0.2?F).

• The patterns of where the solar radiation falls or is reflected - Clouds and volcanic debris can block incoming solar radiation, changing temperatures, precipitation and wind patterns. We had two large polar eruptions last winter and saw extremely strong circumpolar winds that trapped the cold Arctic air mass north. The volcanic debris is still in the stratosphere

• Where the heat from the solar radiation is stored - Seventy percent of the Earth surface is ocean water and the currents in the water transport heat and energy. The main cycles that shift temperatures and alter global weather are shown in Figure 7.
One climate event, even one as massive as over a million square miles of warmer ocean waters, is not the sole factor shaping the global climate. To understand the upcoming fall and winter for North America, one has to look at a number of factors shaping the climate. Basically, to understand natural climate change, you have to follow the energy.

• How much solar radiation the earth receives - The sun provides the energy that runs the weather system. Currently the sun is reaching the peak of a sunspot cycle. According to Thomas Woods, solar scientist at the University of Colorado in Boulder, this supplies enough energy to temporarily raise global temperatures 0.1?C (0.2?F).

• The patterns of where the solar radiation falls or is reflected - Clouds and volcanic debris can block incoming solar radiation, changing temperatures, precipitation and wind patterns. We had two large polar eruptions last winter and saw extremely strong circumpolar winds that trapped the cold Arctic air mass north. The volcanic debris is still in the stratosphere

• Where the heat from the solar radiation is stored - Seventy percent of the Earth surface is ocean water and the currents in the water transport heat and energy. The main cycles that shift temperatures and alter global weather are shown in Figure 7.

One climate event, even one as massive as over a million square miles of warmer ocean waters, is not the sole factor shaping the global climate. To understand the upcoming fall and winter for North America, one has to look at a number of factors shaping the climate. Basically, to understand natural climate change, you have to follow the energy.

• How much solar radiation the earth receives - The sun provides the energy that runs the weather system. Currently the sun is reaching the peak of a sunspot cycle. According to Thomas Woods, solar scientist at the University of Colorado in Boulder, this supplies enough energy to temporarily raise global temperatures 0.1?C (0.2?F).

• The patterns of where the solar radiation falls or is reflected - Clouds and volcanic debris can block incoming solar radiation, changing temperatures, precipitation and wind patterns. We had two large polar eruptions last winter and saw extremely strong circumpolar winds that trapped the cold Arctic air mass north. The volcanic debris is still in the stratosphere

• Where the heat from the solar radiation is stored - Seventy percent of the Earth surface is ocean water and the currents in the water transport heat and energy. The main cycles that shift temperatures and alter global weather are shown in Figure 7.

David Fuller's view Alex Seagle reports that Fullermoney subscribers from several countries and as far away as New Zealand have registered for The 50th Annual Contrary Opinion Forum.


Mrs Fuller and I love this event; wish we could be attending as well but are delighted that Eoin and Mrs Treacy will be enjoying the fun this year.

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