Burberry Cites Challenging Market as Revenue Trails Estimates
Burberry Group Plc, the U.K.'s largest luxury-goods maker, reported fiscal first-quarter sales that trailed analysts' estimates as revenue from its licensing business fell in a “challenging” period.
Revenue rose 11 percent to 408 million pounds ($633.9 million) in the three months ended June 30, the London-based company said today in a statement. The average of six estimates compiled by Bloomberg was 417.8 million pounds. Excluding currency shifts, sales climbed 11 percent.
Sales growth was driven by Burberry's own stores, which now account for about 70 percent of revenue. The 156-year-old company is spending on boutiques and digital technology to keep customers interested in its trench coats and other products amid Europe's debt crisis and slowing economic growth in China.
The period was affected by the closure of some licenses, revenue from which fell 5 percent, excluding currency swings.
Full-year licensing revenue is still expected to be “broadly unchanged,” Burberry said.
The company will remain “responsive to the changing external environment,” Chief Executive Officer Angela Ahrendts said in the statement.
Eoin Treacy's view Uptrend consistency for part of the luxury goods began to deteriorate more than
a year ago as the threat of a global economic slowdown began to materialise.
As China's monetary tightening measures began to take effect demand growth for
ever more bags, watches, clothes and cars began to wane. Over the last year,
luxury goods companies have tended to be judged more on their individual merits
rather than as an asset class in their own right. Those with a truly global
footprint have tended to outperform. (Also see Comment of the Day on February
16th).
BMW,
Swatch, LVMH,
Burberry, PPR
and Compagnie Financiere Richemont have
been largely rangebound for much of the last year but have held progressions
of higher major reaction lows since October. They have all at least paused over
the last couple of weeks but will need to continue to hold above their respective
December lows if potential for additional higher to lateral ranging is to continue
to be given the benefit of the doubt.
Ralph
Lauren has posted its largest reaction since 2008 and has held below the
200-day MA over the last few weeks. A clear upward dynamic will be required
to begin to suggest a return to demand dominance and to defray potential for
a further deterioration in the trend's consistency. Coach
and Hermes have broken their progressions
of higher reaction lows and have so far sustained moves below their respective
200-day MAs. Mulberry hit at least a medium-term
peak near 2500p in May and accelerated lower. While short-term oversold, a clear
upward dynamic will be required to suggest demand is returning in the region
of the lower side of the underlying trading range. Tiffany
encountered resistance in the region of the 200-day MA from March and broke
below the psychological $60 area in May. It has paused near $50 but a sustained
move back above $60 would be required to suggest a return to demand dominance
and question top formation completion.
Essilor
International and Remy Cointreau continue
to hit new all-time highs but are becoming increasingly overextended and prone
to reversion towards their respective means. Luxottica
Group and Christian Dior found support
in the region of their respective 200-day MAs last month and would need to take
out those lows on a sustained basis to question the consistency of their medium-term
uptrends. Hugo Boss found at least short-term
support in the region of the MA last week and a sustained move below it would
be required to check potential for some additional upside. Tods
has returned to test the region of the MA and will need to continue to demonstrate
support in this area if potential for additional upside is to continue to be
given the benefit of the doubt.
Among
department stores Saks, Nordstrom
and Debenhams have all found support in
the region of their respective 200-day MAs over the last few weeks and sustained
moves below their trend means will be required to question potential for additional
upside.