Cheniere's 20-Year Gas Deal Brings U.S. Export Terminal Closer
Cheniere Energy Inc. signed a second natural-gas supply contract in three weeks, boosting its chances of building the first export terminal in the continental U.S.
Gas Natural SDG SA of Spain agreed to load 3.5 million metric tons of liquefied natural gas a year from Houston-based Cheniere's proposed Sabine Pass terminal in Louisiana for 20 years beginning in 2017, the companies said in statements after the market closed in the U.S. Cheniere rose as much as 12 percent in Frankfurt trading.
Production from shale fields has made the U.S. the world's largest gas producer and seen prices collapse 75 percent from 2008's highs, opening the prospect of ship-bound exports.
Yesterday's deal, following a 20-year contract with BG Group Plc, may ensure cash-strapped Cheniere gets financing to build the first phase of its $7.2 billion Sabine export terminal, Societe General said.
"Cheniere now has an incentive to build it as fast as possible," said Thierry Bros, a senior analyst for European gas and LNG at Societe Generale in Paris. "The banks will now have secured cash flow" to repay debt on the export facility.
Cheniere fell 1.9 percent to $11.48 a share in the U.S. yesterday before the news, which it called "another milestone" for Sabine. The 7 million metric-ton capacity target was met for exports, "which is expected to support the construction" of the first two export lines at the facility, Cheniere said in its statement.
Eoin Treacy's view Natural
gas prices below $4 make a great deal of unconventional supply uneconomic.
However, it is often expensive to shut in once tapped and companies are racing
to get wells drilled before permitting expires. The result is that the excess
supply situation may continue for a while longer.
From
the perspective of potential demand the ratio
of West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil / Henry Hub Gas prices has never been so
favourable. Anyone considering new infrastructure has a compelling reason to
consider natural gas over oil. The coal/natural gas ratio
is equally favourable.
The fact
that the USA's natural gas market is deregulated offers an attractive proposition
to those selling gas into markets where prices are linked to crude oil. While
UK natural gas is also deregulated, its
price more closely reflects that of mainland Europe. Prices continue to trend
higher in sharp contrast to the weak environment present in North America.
Cheniere
Energy Inc broke out of a two-year base late last year and remains in a
ranging consolidation consistent with a first step above the base. It is currently
testing the upper boundary and a sustained move below $8 would be required to
question potential for a successful upward break. (Also see Comment of the Day
on September
21st and 19th).
BG
Group and Gas Natural aim to take
advantage of the arbitrage between the US and European and Asian markets. They
are unlikely to be the only participants once the USA's export capacity is up
and running. It may take time for economics to overcome inertia but there is
certainly a valid argument for dispensing with oil linked contracts altogether.
The cost
argument for natural gas has never been more compelling. Anyone seeking to control
energy costs will be compelled to consider natural gas in a deregulated market
for the commodity. The most logical solution would be to incentivise car manufacturers
to develop a more technologically advanced natural gas fuelled range of vehicles.