Consumer companies
Eoin Treacy's view
Consumer companies - The global population went
through 7 billion sometime this month. The economies of the world's population
centres are growing faster than their populations. Their governments are also
cognizant of the fact that if they want the status quo to persist they must
succeed in raising the average standard of living. As a result, the middle class,
particularly in Asia, is expanding. Companies with global reach, that dominate
their respective niches, have brand recognition, possess strong cashflows and
pay reliable yields are outperforming. They are leveraged to a secular theme
- The Greatest Urbanisation in History.
I reviewed
a number of companies yesterday whose fastest growing revenue streams originate
in Asia. I also posted a list of companies with more than 20% of their revenue
sourced in Asia on Friday.
Estee
Lauder is another such company, and particularly leveraged to the growth
of the cosmetics market aimed at men. The share found support in the region
of the 200-day MA from August and soared to $120 earlier this month. It is currently
unwinding the short-term overbought condition but a sustained move below $95
would be required to question the consistency of the medium-term uptrend.
North
Asia, Greater China and South Asia/Pacific represent the majority of Nu
Skin Enterprises (anti aging creams) revenues. The share is also unwinding
a short-term overbought condition relative to the 200-day MA and a sustained
move below $40 would be required to begin to question the consistency of the
medium-term uptrend.
Asia
Pacific represents Herbalife's (nutrition
& weight loss) largest market. The share had become quite overextended relative
to the 200-day MA when it encountered resistance in the region of $60 from August
and has since reverted to the mean. A sustained move below $50 would be required
to question the consistency of the medium-term uptrend.
Developing
Markets is Reckitt Benckiser's (household
goods) fastest growing division. The share is a European Dividend Aristocrat
yielding 4.2%. It was among the first to hit new highs in 2009 but has been
largely rangebound since early 2010. It is now returning to test potential support
at the lower side of the 28-month range and a clear upward dynamic will be required
to confirm the return of the demand in the 3000p area.