Consumer Staples
Eoin Treacy's view
The original list of Autonomies I produced in 2011 was dominated by companies
that offered exposure to the growth of the global consumer. The global population
has moved from being mostly rural to mostly urban in the last few years and
the number of people with disposable income is increasing at an even faster
rate. These types of companies have been among the best performers in absolute
and relative terms over the last few years and have for the most part experienced
a process of mean reversion over the last few months.
The
SPDR Consumer Staples ETF is heavily weighted
by Procter & Gamble (13%) and Coca Cola (10%). It has at least paused below
$42.50 and a process of mean reversion is underway. However this performance
of the ETF masks the already mature pullback that has been underway in the broader
sector.
At
the present moment, McDonalds, Diageo,
SAB Miller, Anheuser
Busch InBev, Heineken, Pernod
Ricard, Coca Cola, Nestle,
Unilever, Mondalez
International, Danone, Ingredion,
Kerry Group, McCormick,
Herbalife, Procter
& Gamble, Kimberly Clark, Colgate
Palmolive, Uni-Charm, Hengan
International, Estee Lauder and Christian
Dior are trading in the region of their respective 200-day MAs. If their
medium-term uptrends are to remain consistent, they will need to continue to
firm in this area. As you will see from the above charts, the majority have
at least firmed this week.
Starbucks,
Amazon, NuSkin
Enterprises and DSM stand out as relative
strength leaders and are close to their highs or breaking out.