Diapers
Eoin Treacy's view It might be a messy business but the
baby care industry is in a major bull market. With the global population cruising
through 7 billion, demand for baby products is rising. Concurrently, new parents,
particularly in Asia, have never been in such a good position to afford the
products that make caring for small children that bit less burdensome.
I mentioned on my return from China last month that it was the first time I
have seen someone in the countryside using a disposable diaper. Hengan
International is the leading Chinese diaper and sanitary towel producer.
The share has shown impressive relative strength, is an S&P Pan Asia Dividend
Aristocrat (1.78%) and is rallying towards its 2010 peak. A sustained move below
HK$60 would be required to begin to question medium-term scope for additional
upside.
This article
on the Indian diaper market highlights two S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats:
Kimberly Clark (3.95%) and Proctor & Gamble (3.3%). Kimberly
Clark (Huggies) has been largely rangebound since 2001. However, it hit
a new all
time high four weeks ago and a sustained move below $65 would be required
to begin to question medium-term scope for additional upside.
Proctor
& Gamble (Pampers) has been largely rangebound for nearly two years.
A sustained move below $60 would be required to question medium-term scope for
additional higher to lateral ranging.
Godrej
Consumer Products sells the Snuggies range of diapers in India. It has been
ranging, in a relatively gradually mean reversion since late last year but needs
to sustain a move to new highs to reassert the medium-term uptrend.