Dividend Aristocrats
Eoin Treacy's view PDF
lists of US, European and Canadian dividend aristocrats and Australian high
yielders appeared in Comment of the Day on November
15th. Yesterday, I reviewed a number of US and European companies on these
lists which have either found support in the region of their 200-day MAs or
are hitting new highs and additionally offer exposure to the growth of the global
middle class. Today, I will expand that review to focus on similar companies
in Canada and Australia.
In Canada,
a number of banks and financials remain in the dividend aristocrat category
because they have not had to cut their dividends. Toronto-Dominion
Bank and Bank of Nova Scotia have
been ranging in close proximity of their 2007 peaks for much of the year. They
are now pressuring the upper side of their ranges and sustained moves below
their respective 200-day MAs would be required to question medium-term upside
potential. Canada Western Bank broke upwards
to new recovery highs this week and a sustained move below C$24 would be required
to check medium-term upside potential.
ShawCor
Ltd broke out of a yearlong range in early October and continues to consolidate
above C$30. A sustained move below the 200-day MA, currently near C$28.50 would
be required to question medium-term upside potential. Transcontinental
has a relatively similar pattern. Canadian
Natural Resources and Pason Systems
are both now breaking out of a similarly lengthy range.
Both
Telus Corp, Canadian
Pacific Railway and Canadian National
Railway remain in steady, consistent medium-term uptrends and would need
to take out their progressions of higher reaction lows to question upside potential.
Transcanada appears to be finding support
in the region of the 200-day MA.
Canadian
Tire Corp ranged below C$60 for more than a year but broke upward four weeks
ago and a clear downward dynamic would be required to check current scope for
additional upside. (Also see Comment of the Day on November
10th)
Elsewhere
in the Canadian list of reliable dividend payers, pipeline companies such as
Enbridge and dairy producer Saputo
continue to perform spectacularly well but while consistent, they are susceptible
to a reversion towards the mean. (Also see Comment of the Day on October
1st and August
10th respectively.
In Australia,
Commonwealth Bank of Australia, National
Australia Bank and Westpac Banking
have all found at least short-term support at the bottom of their respective
ranges and would need to take out their recent lows to question potential for
some additional upside. ANZ has held its
six-month progression of higher reaction lows and Bendigo
Bank is testing the upper side of a more than yearlong first step above
the early 2009 base.
Coal
and Allied has paused in the region of the 2008 high but a sustained move
below the 200-day MA would be required to question medium-term upside potential.
Telstra
has been a serial underperformer and does not offer much exposure to Asian regional
growth. However, it has an impressive indicated net yield of 9.93% and recently
found support in the region of A$3.25. It rallied impressively last week and
a sustained move to new reaction lows would be required to question scope for
some additional higher to lateral ranging. (Also see Comment of the Day on November
8th).
Australian
Pipeline Trust retains a consistent medium-term upward trajectory and would
need to sustain a move below the 200-day MA to question upside potential.