Email of the day (1)
"The research note attached is from Southern Cross equities. The writer Charlie Aitken has a daily report that is widely followed by small investors. To give Charlie some credit he was bearish early this year (at the right time) but a couple of months ago turned bullish saying markets were cheap.
"I like David's commentary this morning [Ed. Thursday's Comment of the Day] I have been contending for some time (especially to my investment clients) we are in an extended consolidation going back almost 12 months. The current rally over the last few weeks is working out the extreme bearish price action of the last 5 or 6 months. I find it amusing of late that we have commentaries referring back to the issues of early 2009 and that nothing has changed - more doom and gloom. Such talk makes me more bullish.
"I hope to get back to London next summer to again do the Chart Seminar. I found the content very good and the discussion stimulating.
"I appreciate all the great work you and David do. I don't always agree with you. We all must find our own way through markets. Relying on others is not a good idea.
"Markets continue to be very kind to me. I am pleased, the tax man is pleased, my wife is pleased and my children are very pleased. This very long run of successful trading continues to surprise me. I do have loses from time to time but I have been fortunate to keep them small. My profitable trades have been very rewarding.
"There is going to be a lot of money to be made next year in shorting bonds futures. I am content to wait until that sell signal is confirmed. I don't need to pick the bottom in bond yields to go short. I made huge profits in the early 90's in bonds when I traded markets professionally. At that time I made so much money trading bonds it dwarfed the profits of the IB I worked for.
"I keep reading about your local economy. Difficult time for Irish economically but a very nice place to visit."
Eoin Treacy's view Thank
you for this enlightened email and the attached report. I look forward to welcoming
you to another Chart Seminar in the not too distant future and to your contributions
which are sure to be of value. The Chart Seminar will next be conducted in London
on November 18th & 19th.and the early booking rate of £875 +VAT will
be available until September 30th.
Congratulations
on your successful trading record. I agree that we all need to make our own
way in the investment world. As you know our theme is Empowerment Through Knowledge.
We would be worried if everyone agreed with us and do not tell people what do,
rather we attempt to decipher what the market is telling us as best we can and
tell our subscribers exactly what we are doing with our own money.
An increasing
number of stock market indices are breaking to new three-month, recovery and
all time highs which should help investors put the remarkable bearish commentary
which has permeated markets for much of the last month into perspective. Bond
prices have now clearly posted larger pullbacks than any seen in the course
of their 6-month uptrends, further supporting the view that they have hit at
least medium-term peaks.
Leighton
Holdings currently yields 6.24% and I also agree it is an interesting play
on capex growth in the mining and infrastructure sectors. The share found support
in the region of the upper side of the base from July and has pulled away from
the A$30 area over the last few weeks. It has sustained a progression of higher
reaction lows since early July and these would need to be taken out with a sustained
move below A$31.60 to question scope for continued upside.
Ireland
has had a difficult couple of years but remains a wonderful place to visit and
the price of hotels has become a lot more competitive as a result of the recession.