Email of the day (1)
"Shale gas might become banned in France. The parliament will discuss it on May 10. But according to some articles (link below), it could also help France protect the nuclear players…Will we go towards a nuclear Europe and a "shale gas" America?"
http://www.thegwpf.org/energy-news/2804-protecting-nuclear-industry-france-plans-to-ban-shale-gas-drilling.html
http://www.euractiv.com/en/energy/shale-gas-drilling-banned-france-news-503999
Eoin Treacy's view Thank
you for these interesting links. Drilling for unconventional oil and gas deposits
was always going to be more problematic in densely populated and more tightly
regulated Europe than in the USA. Well publicized fears over the effects on
ground water of hydraulic fracturing will need to be allayed if the exploitation
of unconventional reserves is to fulfil its long-term potential.
France
produces 88% of its electricity from nuclear and hydro so to an extent it can
afford to forego exploring for domestic hydro carbons in politically sensitive
areas. (Australian listed European Gas which was drilling in France appears
to have been a victim of this embargo and the share has been suspended). France
has embraced the nuclear industry like no other. It is unlikely that any other
European country will mirror its commitment to the sector.
Other
countries simply do not have that luxury of ignoring vast energy resources.
New York State appears to be on the
cusp of lifting a moratorium on hydraulic fracturing. Poland and Ukraine remain
the most likely European countries where shale gas production will prosper in
Europe. This is fuelled by a desire to be independent of Russian supply. This
article
from the Warsaw Business Journal may be of interest. Here is a section:
Nonetheless, the EIA's report places Poland as a clear
leader when it comes to shale gas reserves in Europe, with only France estimated
to possess similar levels.
And given Poland's concerns regarding energy security (it is currently dependent
on Russian gas) and public opinion's generally positive view of mining, the
country has a much friendlier social and political environment for the development
of the shale gas industry, noted Ernest Wyciszkiewicz, an economic relations
and energy security expert at the Polish Institute of International Affairs
(PISM).
"Undertakings relative to shale gas in Europe are still quite risky, and
any kind of news that the potential shale reserves are bigger than expected
is great news for investors, as well as for the Polish administration and policymakers,"
said Mr. Wyciszkiewicz.
PGNiG
is the Polish monopoly gas driller. It has been forming a base since mid 2008
and will need to sustain a move above PLN4 to indicate a return to medium-term
demand dominance. It is currently drilling wells for Canadian and US listed
Talisman Energy which has outperformed
by a considerable margin. Talisman retested its 2008 peak in late February and
has been ranging below $25 since. A sustained move below the 200-day MA, currently
near $21 would be required to question medium-term upside potential.
Most companies with an interest in shale gas have performed well over the last
three months. They almost all appear to be in the process of unwinding short-term
overbought conditions but would need to sustain moves below their respective
200-day MAs to question the consistency of their medium-term uptrends. This
Chart Library Performance Filter
contains 12 such companies.