Email of the day (1)
"Could you check this chart in the library which doesn't seem to be correct: EUFOSC1 - at least the bar charts seem odd. Could you add the US version USFOSC1? If you could add a number of OIS spreads to the chart library and describe them..."
Eoin Treacy's view Thank you for this suggestion and I have added the US 3-month FRA/OIS spread
to the Chart Library as well as the relevant spreads for the UK, Canada, Australia
and Switzerland. The bars for the European equivalent are questionable but correspond
with what is available on Bloomberg. I asked their help desk to correct this
and await a reply. As you point out, interest in measures of financial sector
risk such as the TED spread and the OIS spread has increased over the last couple
of days as the perceptions of how serious the Greek debt crisis have deteriorated.
Comment
of the Day on November
30th 2009 may also be of interest as a broader range of risk measures were
covered.
Following
a relatively quiet period over the last year the US
Dollar 3-month FRA/OIS spread advanced sharply yesterday suggesting investors
are attaching an additional risk premium to the financial sector. This is not
particularly surprising considering the depth of the crisis on the Eurozone's
periphery. A similar upward dynamic was posted on the British
Pound and Euro equivalents.
The Canadian
spread has been rising over the last year and is now testing the upper side
of the two-year base. The Swiss spread
has also rallied to test the upper side of its developing base.
The Australian
spread has tightened over the last year but has rallied to break the short-term
downtrend and looks more likely than not to rally somewhat from current levels.
While
the risk premium attached to the financial sector has increased and USA, European
and UK institutions are potentially most exposed to the risk of a Greek default,
these spreads are more reflective of sentiment rather than lead indicators.