Email of the day (1)
"Thanks for adding CHN.
"Eoin you have special knowledge of China - how do you reconcile the government's statements that it uses a basket of currencies to determine the Yuan's daily value with the fact that in practice it follows the USD VERY closely? For instance even in the last few weeks, when the dollar has shot up against other Asian currencies, there was scarcely a blip on the USDCNY chart.
"The CNH did though shoot up more than 1% today, which is huge for this market. I don't think it's ever traded at a discount to CNY before."
Eoin Treacy's view Thank you for this email which is sure to be of interest to other subscribers.
The Renminbi is a managed currency and is therefore viewed as a policy tool
by the administration rather than an independent vehicle. The currency has edged
higher against the US Dollar over the last year. Against the Euro the pattern
of appreciation has been less noticeable.
This
overlay chart may help to distinguish
the pace of appreciation against these two currencies. The Renminbi performed
in line with the Dollar compared to the Euro from mid 2008 to July last year.
It subsequently strengthened more against the Euro than the Dollar supporting
the contention that the Renminbi has appreciated against a basket of currencies
over the last year. Of course the US Dollar is still the largest component of
that basket.
Today's
weakness of the Offshore Renminbi spot rate was similar to that experienced
by other Asian currencies and probably has more to do with a flight to a perceived
safe haven than any meaningful change to the onshore
peg.