Email of the day (1)
"Good evening. Would you please check the CAD-JPY interest rate spread as this has not updated since April and I believe the Canadians increased their rates recently? Further to this, given David's recent long trades in AUD/JPY FX forwards what are your thoughts on CAD/JPY with the potential for relative increases in the CAD interest rate? Many thanks."
Eoin Treacy's view Thank you
for this email and the Canadian interest rate data has now been updated correctly.
At present, the difference of 40 basis
points between the two rates is probably not enough to make very much of
a difference to the market but as Canadian interest rate hikes continue to outpace
Japan's, they will offer an increasing tailwind to those seeking to short the
Yen.
The
Canadian Dollar failed to sustain the
break above ¥90 in April and fell back to test the lower side of the yearlong
range where it found support once more. A sustained move back below ¥82.5
would be required to question scope for some further higher to lateral ranging
while a sustained move above ¥95 would clearly indicate demand for the Loonie
has regained medium-term dominance.