Email of the day
Comment of the Day

August 02 2010

Commentary by David Fuller

Email of the day

On my sale of the BlackRock Bold and General Fund
"You say that gold is still in a long term uptrend, and you haven't said that any of the fundamental reasons for holding gold have changed, so I am a bit perplexed by your decision to sell your holding in Blackrock Gold and General Fund.

"As a Fullermoney subscriber, (tongue in cheek) would the ultimate contrarian play be to buy gold shares now?!

"PS I know that you like to go to Hay-on-Wye - I will be there in a couple of months - are there any special places/things to do there that you would recommend?"

David Fuller's view We can all be our own best contrary indicators.

I like gold as a long-term store of wealth and have long regarded it as hard money relative to fiat currencies. I have frequently expressed a preference for buying gold on setbacks and selling it on strength. I had felt that it had become a crowded trade recently; it had moved into a period of seasonal under performance; technical evidence of temporary fatigue emerged in June with the two downside key day reversals near $1250.

The BlackRock Gold and General Fund held gold shares which I regard as considerably more risky than bullion and generally much more volatile. I am not suddenly bearish of gold shares but having been overweight in miners generally, I felt it was time to spread the risk and buy something a little less overowned.

Reading between the lines of this email and others of a similar nature, are my reasons above sufficient justification for you or any other subscriber to sell gold shares? Perhaps not, unless you too would rather invest in something else. In a benign market environment I think gold shares have limited downside risk.

Regarding Hay-on-Wye, it is a pleasant little village with lots of second-hand bookstores and some small galleries. We only go to Hay for the Festival in late May. However the surrounding countryside is very beautiful.

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