Email of the day
"Gentlemen, I have to admit to being one of the sheeple, the fundamentals of the expanding Asian middle class is soooo compelling and finding anyone who disagrees is getting harder. What say you?"
David Fuller's view Thanks for the article - Emerging
markets can't save the world. The mentality behind the headline is the
giveaway. It is not the world that needs saving, I suggest, from the credit
excesses of the West.
However
it is demand from the booming developing (progressing) world which is cushioning
downside risk somewhat during this severe credit crisis for the West. This is
why Eoin and I have often mentioned and illustrated our preference within the
West for multinational companies leveraged to Asia's growth engine. Therefore
I agree with that portion of the article.
Are progressing
markets a crowded trade today? A few of the smaller ones are, such as Sri
Lanka (I thought it looked overextended at 5000) which is enjoying its peace
dividend. However most of Asia spent at least nine months in a ranging consolidation
so recent strength has some decent underpinnings in terms of chart support.
Also,
I posted a very interesting report yesterday, by a strategist who is very bullish
of progressing markets, India in particular, but has apparently not had any
long positions in equities since March. He was worried about a double-dip recession
in the USA and is still looking for a big sell-off.
This
raises the question: Are you part of an increasingly crowded majority with your
progressing market investments, or are there more people out there desperately
hoping for a repeat of the buying opportunity missed in1Q 2009 and also in recent
months?
Since
all observations are subjective, let the price charts be your guide.