Email of the day (2)
"See attached a summary of the recent Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting which always makes for interesting reading.
"Looking forward to seeing you at the TCS in London later this week. I'm a late booker (just this morning) - better late than never!"
Eoin Treacy's view Thank
you for this interesting summary which
I have no doubt will be appreciated by the Collective. I'm looking forward to
welcoming you to your second Chart Seminar later this week.
I found
Question 8 relevant because it deals with investments likely to keep pace with
inflation over the long term, which as veteran subscribers know, is a subject
of particular interest to Fullermoney. Here is the relevant section posted without
further comment:
Question
8: Crowd- Aside from not needing to put huge amounts of capital to work, are
Coke and See's still great business to own in an inflationary situation? Are
they better than companies with irreplaceable hard assets and pricing power
-- like the railroad-in protecting against inflation?
Buffett: The first businesses are superior. If you have a great consumer product
that requires very little capital to grow and support that growth--and you do
more volume as inflation grows-that is a wonderful asset to protect against
inflation. The ultimate example of that is your own earning ability. People
who have made investments in themselves-outstanding teachers and doctors-see
their wages increase with inflation. They also don't have to make an additional
investment in themselves. People should think about a long term real estate
asset like a farm where additional capital is not required to finance inflationary
growth.
The
worst businesses are the ones with huge receivables and inventories. Their volume
stays flat and they have to come up with more money to finance that volume.
Normally BRK does not like businesses that require a lot of capital-railroads
and utilities. But, he and Charlie believe that they should be able to generate
a good return in the railroad because of the value it provides to the economy.
The ideal business is one like See's. See's Candy was doing $25M-$30M in revenue
when they bought it and they were selling 60M pounds of candy. Now they are
doing over $300M in revenue. It took $9M of capital then and the business only
needs $40M in tangible capital now. If the price of candy doubles they don't
have any receivables or inventory. Fixed assets don't have to increase either.
Munger:
What's interesting is that they didn't always know that. (Buffett: Sometimes
we forget!) Continuous learning is always required.
Buffett:
He has said in the past that he is a better businessman because he is an investor
and a better investor because he is a businessman. There is nothing like actually
experiencing the necessity-specifically in the 1970s when inflation was gathering
strength-- of capital investment in a big scale that didn't actually help to
increase earnings. He wrote an article in Fortune in 1977 called "How Inflation
Swindles the Equity Investor." Ideally, to protect against inflation, you
want a royalty on someone else's sales so you don't have to invest any more
capital-you license it to them and you make money as their volume grows. You
have no receivables or fixed assets and have to make no capital investments.
This represents great inflation protection as long as the product remains viable.