Email of the day (2)
"As you are both pre-eminent in the field of technical analysis, (which I certainly am not) - I wonder if you have time to cast an eye over the charts used by this author and comment on whether you think they support his very bullish pro-silver arguments?
Click here: Silver Ready For Take-Off? | Willem Weytjens | Safehaven.com
"P.S. I believe this is a fairly new website - pleased to see Fullermoney is listed under "links"."
David Fuller's view Thanks for your comments and the link.
Anyone
who is sufficiently interested can learn how to read prices charts. I can say
that, not due to pre-eminence, but because Eoin and I have seen and heard it
from the many thousands of investors, analysts and traders who have attended
The Chart Seminar, commencing with the first course on Behavioural Technical
Analysis which I launched in 1970 and which Fullermoney has provided every year
subsequently.
Willem
Weytjens makes some good points in the article. I have always described silver,
which I have traded more than any other commodity over the years, as high beta
gold. That volatility can be challenging. Therefore, I prefer to use 'commonality'
when assessing silver or any other futures traded precious metal.
In other
words, if silver (weekly & daily)
is going to "take-off", it will not do it on its own and the outlook
may either be clearer on one of the other precious metals such as gold (weekly
& daily), or you will have a better
overall feel for the sector by looking at platinum (weekly
& daily) and palladium (weekly
& daily) as well.
This
analysis need not be overly elaborate. You can see from the charts above that
precious metals have been in a corrective phase for much of this year. Currently,
silver, which had that big blow-off in April is lagging, as is platinum. Gold
has the more consistent pattern, despite its acceleration in August, and it
is outperforming at present. That is a favourable sign for silver and if gold
hits a new high in the next few months, as Fullermoney expects, then you can
be reasonably confident that silver will follow.
Palladium
currently shows the next best performance and a push back above the MA and into
the small top formation would provide another bullish lead for both silver and
platinum.
For the
record, you may recall that I am long gold (an over weight position), silver
(medium weight) and platinum (under weight), and I am annoyed that I did not
pick up some palladium on its last setback. This guarantees nothing but I am
hoping that gold and palladium lead a resumption of the secular bull markets
for precious metals sooner rather than later.
(See
also Eoin's comments on platinum below.)