Email of the day (2)
On long-dated government bond yields
"You regularly refer to the long dated govt bond yields in your commentary with the comment that 4% yield is ok for stock markets but if yields get to 5% this could be a headwind.
"What chart is best to monitor this aspect of investing?"
David Fuller's view The key rate, so often illustrated and
mentioned in this context, is US 10-Year Treasuries (historic,
10-year weekly & 5-year
weekly).
What I have discussed regarding headwind yields is a personal
hypothesis. Other factors will also influence sentiment. Yields will be higher
in many countries before they negatively affect equities. What I would be reasonably
certain of, is that US 10-Year Treasuries at 5% to 5.5% would pose a greater
risk for stock markets than the current yield. Meanwhile we watch the charts
for 10-year yields and equity indices.