Email of the day (2)
“Martin Spring's recent letter covered individual companies from the Indonesian exchange (attached), half of which are not available in the chart library. Can you have the chart people put on the case?
“Also, has FM put a Fall 2013 London edition of TCS on the calendar?”
Eoin Treacy's view Thank you for your interest in The Chart
Seminar. We are in the process of finalizing dates for this year's venues and
will release them once formalized. I have added all the Indonesian shares mentioned
in Martin Spring's letter to the Indonesia section of the Chart Library.
This
article
from Bloomberg on the profitability of Indonesia's banking sector may also be
of interest. Here is a section:
As
profitable as lending in Indonesia is, banks have made loans to only 28 percent
of the population, or about 67 million people, according to World Bank data.
Loans outstanding at the country's 120 commercial lenders totaled $272 billion
at the end of November, according to central bank data. That's about 30 percent
of 2011's gross domestic product, the lowest loans-to- GDP ratio among major
Asian markets, said Stephan Hasjim, a Jakarta-based analyst at Nomura Holdings
Inc.
Neighboring
Singapore and Malaysia have loans-to-GDP ratios of 150 percent and 125 percent
respectively, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, based on cumulative loans
outstanding at the end of the most recent month for which data is available
and 2011 GDP figures.
Economic
expansion in Indonesia, the world's 16th-largest economy, will average 6.4 percent
from 2013 to 2017, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development
estimated in a Nov. 18 report. Its GDP was $846 billion in 2011, according to
International Monetary Fund data.
The
low penetration of loans in the domestic economy represents an additional bullish
element from an investment perspective because as the banking sector develops
and living standards improve demand for credit will increase and help to spur
additioal consumer demand. The Jakarta
Finance Index has been outperforming the wider market since March 2012 and
the ratio is currently testing the upper side of its four-year range. While
their is some short-term scope for underperformance, a sustained move below
0,13 would be required to check potenital for additional favoruable interest
in the banking sector over the medium term0.
The
JCI Index is somewhat overbought as it
tests the 4500 level and while their is potential for some consolidation of
recernt gains, a sustained move below the 200-day MA, currenlty near 4225m,
would be required to question medium-term upside potential.