Email of the day (2)
on uranium
“Uranium has been the worst performing commodity for well-known reasons. However, both URAX and URA seems to be consolidating. Would very much appreciate your technical view on both.”
Eoin Treacy's view While the nuclear sector was hit
hard by the Fukushima accident and the subsequent political response to it,
natural gas poses an equally significant risk to the sector. Uranium is in need
of a catalyst such as the widespread adoption of Generation IV generating capacity
and a commitment to retire old, outdated reactors. At present this is an unlikely
prospect.
Here
are log scale charts of Global X Uranium ETF (URA)
and the World Uranium Total Return Index (URAX)
which clearly depict the continuation of lower rally highs consistent with supply
dominance. Breaks in these sequences will be required to confirm a change in
the status quo,