Email of the day (3)
"I understand there are many investors who have enjoyed success investing in human resources/recruitment equities over many business cycles. It appears some of these companies both medium and small cap are now growing earnings quite robustly. I am sure there are others in the collective who would appreciate your opinion on timing and price action."
Eoin Treacy's view Thank you for this question which others may also have an interest in. Intuitively,
recruiters should do well in a recovery as companies begin to increase their
headcount and are more willing to pay up for the right people. However, there
is no clear commonality in the sector. This suggests that the better performing
companies have a clear competitive advantage compared to the laggards rather
than a pervasive bull market that is raising profitability for the sector as
a whole.
Companies
such as Monster Inc and USG
People remain within developing base formations. Robert
Half International, Kelly Services
and Hays Plc have all been prone to large
swings both up and down following the 2009 low. They need to break their respective
five-month progressions of lower rally highs to begin to suggest that demand
is regaining the upper hand beyond the short term.
Michael
Page remains in a consistent medium-term uptrend where it has found support
in the region of the 200-day MA during successive reactions. A sustained move
below 500p would be required to begin to question medium-term scope for additional
upside.
Korn/Ferry
International and Dice Holdings have
both completed reversions towards their respective 200-day MAs and appear to
be in the process of finding support. Sustained moves below their trend means
would be required to check current scope for some additional firming.
China focused, 51Job, has lost momentum
following an impressive acceleration. It continues to revert towards the mean
and is currently testing the progression of higher reaction lows. It will need
to find support soon if these are to hold, while a sustained move below $50
would likely complete a medium-term top.