Email of the day (3)
"Are you considering increasing your holding of JPM India? I notice you have not mentioned it for a while and wondered what your current thoughts are."
David Fuller's view You are correct but both Eoin and I have
commented on India quite frequently
and this extremely attractive long-term prospect has been a serial underperformer
this year due to political scandals and ineptness, which have aggravated inflationary
pressures, prompting the RBI to raise interest rates 13 times. India's latest
blunder, in my opinion, was the decision last week to postpone the entry of
foreign retailers, including supermarkets.
This
underperformance is unlikely to reverse until the RBI begins to lower rates.
That could happen sooner rather than later as India's GDP growth is slowing
and inflation will fall in line with commodity
prices which are coming down faster, on average, than the rupee
is weakening. I already have a substantial long-term investment in India
but if you are looking for a catalyst, the next time to buy JII
or any other Indian fund, I suggest, is when the RBI lowers rates.