Email of the day (4)
"Having lightened some gold and silver during the last up-leg I ask myself when and if to repurchase it. We can conclude that the answer to the "if" item is a strong "yes". The other answer is for me more complicated: around 1,800 and 35/36 do you think we can expect a pullback? Thank you for your enlightening thoughts."
David Fuller's view Well done for seizing your opportunities
in these markets.
I
feel that precious metals are performing broadly in line with expectations for
a bull market that is resuming. Fortunately, this is also in line with what
Fullermoney discussed during the support building phase from mid-May to mid-August.
Briefly,
we saw decisive upward breaks which have now been followed by more choppy ranging
action near psychological resistance levels. This is caused by more two-way
action as many of us take some profits and also re-enter.
We have
seen a big reaction in palladium,
possibly as those bears with burnt fingers from their platinum
shorts have shifted their short sales to the other precious metal used in catalytic
converters. I think short sellers will lose money in palladium as well.
Gold
and volatile silver have held up very
well so far. I do not envisage a big pullback unless the S&P
500 rolls over in another correction of 10% to 15%. This is possible after
a 4-month advance although it is not indicated at present since we have seen
no more than some downward drift recently. Consequently, if trading precious
metals futures, I would buy dips within the current ranges and lighten incrementally
following new recovery highs. If we are talking about bullion funds, I would
buy the dips and hold for higher levels which I expect to see before yearend
and throughout most of 2013.