Email of the day (4)
"Here's an interesting proposal from India regarding using domestic gold to curb imports and manage the current account deficit. Hmm. A friend forwarded this e-mail to me in November. I can't remember anyone who is negative on gold at this time. Hmm. I have a significant portion of my portfolio invested in PMs, but I am sleeping well. Thanks for a fabulous service."
David Fuller's view Thank you for your kind words and the
article
from Bloomberg, the first portion of which appears immediately below:
India,
the world's largest bullion buyer, should mobilize idle gold lying with its
citizens to curb imports and lower a record current-account deficit, according
to the All India Gems & Jewellery Trade Federation.
Households
and temples carry about 25,000 metric tons and a successful plan to gather at
least 10 percent of the gold reserves for lending to jewelers will ensure supplies
for three years, Bachhraj Bamalwa, chairman of the federation, which represents
about 300,000 jewelers, said in a phone interview. The plan should be run by
the central bank, which can help India halt imports for three years, he said.
India
is grappling with the highest ever current-account deficit, the broadest measure
of trade, mainly because of its gold and crude oil imports, weakening the rupee
to a record against theU.S. dollar. The central bank is mulling a gold investment
plan to curb the deficit, Deputy Governor Subir Gokarn said last month. Imports
climbed to a record 969 tons last year, according to the World Gold Council.
"The
only way India can reduce its dependence on imports is to tap the gold lying
with individuals and temples," Kishore Narne, head of commodity and currency
at Motilal Oswal Commodity Broker Pvt., said in a phone interview. "By
doing this, the country can reduce influx of gold at these high prices. Appetite
for gold is never going to diminish."
My
comment - Hmm indeed! This is an issue of trust,
or I should say lack of trust over centuries. Therefore blaming gold imports
for India's current account deficit and soft currency may be self-serving for
a few, but it really misses the point about confidence in governance within
the country.
India's
government should praise the removing of restrictions on gold ownership. Any
change in this policy would reflect very badly on standards of governance. Incidentally,
we have seen these lapses in governance regarding gold in all other countries
at various times throughout their history.