Email of the day
"Please could you comment on the Lex article in the FT today on a possible flight from high yield instruments."
David Fuller's view Yes, and thanks for drawing the Lex
item to my attention; here is the opening paragraph:
The financial
market's sirens have been singing about yield. In a world of zero interest rates
engineered by central bankers, it was inevitable that many investors would listen.
But following the music has suddenly brought them perilously close to the rocks.
It
is worth reading the rest of this short item from Lex and you can always monitor
the funds mentioned in the Chart Library. Although still near the higher side
of their broad ranges, they have generally underperformed as you can see from
these weekly charts for the iShares
iBoxx High-Yield fund and also the Pimco
High-Income fund (note: extreme tails in two instances on each chart
suggest errors in Bloomberg's data).
I
admit to being off-piste in assessing these instruments but I have a general
view and it concerns me. While Fullermoney prefers sound corporate bonds to
western government and JGB debt, that is hardly a recommendation. The 70 percent
premium mentioned by the FT for the Pimco bond is unsustainable and indicates
bubble conditions, living on borrowed time.
Additional
feedback from subscribers experienced in these markets would be welcome.