Email of the day
“I noticed today Unilever is buying more shares of its separate Unilever India company.
“I recall a few weeks ago you highlighted some research listing all the 'baby' companies who had aristocratic parents. I have been unable to find the article however in your previous articles and I wondered whether you could send to me or post again on your website as it was most interesting”
Eoin Treacy's view Thank you for this question which other
subscribers may also have an interest in. I have written about the affiliates
of globally oriented companies on a number of occasions but I believe the report
you are referring to was the March edition of Iain Little's Global Thematic
Investors newsletter.
It contained a section on the acquisition of foreign affiliates by their parents
and appeared in Comment of the Day on March
28th. Here is a relevant section quoting one of the fund's advisors:
This
development naturally raises the question as to whether our MNC subsidiary holdings
in India might go down the same route. The risk here would appear to be much
lower since stronger legislation exists in India to deter privatisation. Whereas
in Pakistan a de-listing resolution must be approved by three quarters of shareholders
(since it owns 75% of its subsidiary, Unilever had already cleared this hurdle),
the threshold for approval in India is 90%, which is significantly higher than
any of the stakes held by the parents of our MNC subsidiaries. Furthermore,
controlling shareholders cannot easily reach the requisite 90% holding. In order
to get there, they would require the approval of two thirds of the minority
shareholders at a price agreed through a process of reverse book building. In
2012 alone, two MNCs, Ricoh and Saint Gobain , have seen their attempts at de-listing
fail, as they did not reach the 90%
This
article
from The Economic Times highlights some additional reasons Autonomies such as
Unilever are increasing their positions among their foreign listed affiliates.
Here is a section:
Traders
say they are expecting open offers, share buybacks or creeping acquisitions
in such MNCs. "India is a growing economy and many MNCs see this as a big
opportunity for their businesses. Companies like Hindustan Unilever, Nestle,
Colgate, GlaxoSmithKline, Pfizer, Maruti and others want to introduce new products
in Indian markets."
"However, increasing royalty rates for new licences of products and patents
from parent companies are hurting margins of Indian units, thereby depressing
share price. Thus, the best way for foreign promoters to have larger share in
profits is to increase their stake in the Indian subsidiary," said AK Prabhakar,
senior vice president, equity research, Anand Rathi Financial Services.
"It's a win-win situation for both foreign promoters and local shareholders,
as both can participate in the growth of the company and get rewarded by higher
dividends," Prabhakar added. NSE's CNX MNC Index rallied more than 300
points, or 6%, on Tuesday, enthused by the performance of the HUL stock. Other
MNCs such as Colgate Palmolive, Nestle, Procter & Gamble, GSK Consumer also
rallied over 5%, on hopes of similar offers from parents.
Companies
with foreign listed affiliates in high growth markets, while often somewhat
difficult to identify, reflect the early aspirations of corporations to develop
a global footprint for their products. As capitalist economic policies are implemented
in the world's population centres, growth is leading to more people being lifted
out of poverty and into the disposable income brackets where demand for consumer
goods takes off. As early movers in globalisation a considerable number of Autonomies
are well positioned to benefit from demand growth. They continue to represent
some of the lowest risk and highest potential reward candidates in the equity
markets, subject to timing.
From
the perspective of a global investor India is one of the more interesting jurisdictions
to invest in affiliates. There are a considerable number of such companies listed
in India and domestic laws which make outright takeovers more difficult. For
example, British American Tobacco owns
30% of ICT Ltd which is the largest weighting in the Nifty Index. Cigarettes
represented 63% of revenue in 2012 while snack foods were the next largest segment
at 16% and one of its fastest growing. The pace of the share's
advance has picked up of late. If the trend is to remain consistent it will
soon begin to revert toward the mean. An upward acceleration from here would
represent a trend ending characteristic as taught at The Chart Seminar.
Hindustan
Lever had become overextended relative to the 200-day MA when it began to
pullback in October. It found support from early April and surged this week
to retest the high on speculation that its parent may attempt an outright takeover.