Email of the day
"A minor question about your (our!) Top 10 portfolio and some of your observations: There has recently been a swing towards Japanese equities as an investment, and having looked at the JPM Small co's Trust (JPS LN) graph, I was impressed with its potential. Would you say it is (was) well managed, and are there other Japanese Trusts (UK) which would be worth looking at?
David Fuller's view You can check the relative performance
of UK-listed investment trusts for Japan by searching the Library under 'Japan'
and also 'Japanese'.
I
have not studied their relative performance closely but my overall impression
is that there is not much difference. Japan is not a Fullermoney theme but it
may have catch-up potential, once the yen weakens sufficiently to give the export
sector a boost. If this also lifted the Japanese economy out of its deflationary
slough and boosted consumption, the stock market could do quite well.
However,
Japan may have lost some of its laggard appeal as other stock markets experience
corrections. I would only consider nibbling on weakness in the current environment
but may prefer a more robust alternative, such as a pan-Asian emerging market
IT.
Meanwhile,
the Southern European sovereign debt crisis (Greece,
Portugal, Spain
& Italy) will weigh on investor
sentiment until yields are seen to have peaked. This is clearly not the case
today although yields are acclerating at an unsustainable rate. Wall Street
remains edgy over regulatory proposals. Additionally, yesterday's 10-minute
meltdown - perhaps due to a 'fat finger' but certainly aggravated by algorithmic
trading programmes - looks both dangerous and farcical. It would be surprising
if some funds and banks were not holed beneath their waterline by this event,
although confirmation of these losses may not surface immediately.
This
is a scary passage for investors who are experiencing profit erosion. Without
meaning to be flippant, stuff happens, to coin a phrase. The good news is that
indiscriminate, albeit understandable, selling of assets which have little to
do with Southern Europe or Wall Street creates additional buying opportunities
in favoured investment themes. Lastly, these events are not without an element
of black humour. CNBC's background music for the US edition of Squawk Box this
morning was from the Schwarzenegger epic, Terminator 3: Rise
of the Machines.