Email of the day on historical cyclically adjusted valuation metrics
Comment of the Day

August 05 2015

Commentary by Eoin Treacy

Email of the day on historical cyclically adjusted valuation metrics

Just wondering, would you know of reputable data providers for graphs of cyclically-adjusted PER, cyclically-adjusted P/BVPS, cyclically-adjusted DY for equity indices and individual equities? Preferably if the service is free/cheap and dependable ; but ok if paid too. I know of www.multpl.com (free) for the PER of S&P500. Regards.

Eoin Treacy's view

Thank you for this question. Bloomberg does not carry cyclically adjusted valuation measures so we do not have access to them. A number of third party sources calculate these measures independently and each has its own idiosyncrasies in how they compute the level. Multipl.com is a great resource for the USA both for CAPE and historic Treasury yields.

German based Star Capital is the best source of CAPE, P/E, Price / Cash, Price / Book, Price / Sales and Dividend Yield for individual countries I know of. They also present the data is a very attractive easy-to-use format. 

If you take a look at the valuations they present then a number of Eastern European markets stick out.

Hungary broke out of a three-year range in March, spent much of the last three months consolidating and is now back testing its highs.

Czech Republic  is testing the upper side of a four-year base and a sustained move above 1050 would confirm a return to medium-term demand dominance.

Poland has been ranging for two years and is rallying having confirmed at least short-term support in the region of 51500. 

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