Franc Rises Most Since March on Speculation SNB Allowing Gain
The Swiss franc climbed the most in more than a month against the euro on speculation the Swiss National Bank relaxed efforts to curb the currency's advance.
"It's obvious that the SNB has been in the market recently," said Marcus Hettinger, a foreign-exchange analyst at Credit Suisse Group AG in Zurich. "It could be that it is now accepting a new level versus the euro, which could be around 1.42. But it still seems to be a managed exchange rate."
The Swiss franc appreciated as much as 0.8 percent to 1.4212 per euro in the biggest intraday advance since March 18, before trading at 1.4228 at 11:47 a.m. in London, compared with 1.4327 yesterday.
Eoin Treacy's view Currency
markets have been remarkably volatile over the last few weeks; stemming from
the continued concerns about the integrity of the Eurozone. The Swiss franc
offers some clear examples of this volatility; weakening against a newly resurgent
US dollar and Yen but strengthening against the Euro and Pound.
The US
Dollar found support near parity in November having last tested that level
in March 2008. It continues to post a progression of rising reaction lows but
became somewhat overextended relative to the 200-day moving average in the last
few days and appears to have encountered at least short-term resistance in the
region CHF1.12. However, a sustained move back below CHF1.09 would be required
to mark an inconsistency, a pull back into the previous range, and signal that
demand for the franc is beginning to return to dominance.
The Yen
has been ranging mostly above CHF1.1 since June, but broke upwards this evening.
The Franc recouped part of the loss but a downward dynamic would be required
to question scope for some additional upside.
The Euro
continues to extend its downtrend against the Swiss Franc. It is becoming increasingly
overextended relative to the 200-day moving average but an upward dynamic would
be required to signal renewed Euro demand.
The Pound
encountered resistance in the region CHF1.7 on a number occasions since November
and posted an emphatic key day reversal
just below that level today. A countermanding upward dynamic would be required
to question potential for some further lower to lateral ranging.