Industrial metals review
David Fuller's view 2011
was a bearish year for industrial metal prices. What can we say about them today?
In
recent Audios I have talked about initial evidence of support building.
Copper
(monthly, weekly
& daily) is leading the recovery.
It shows support building similar to a number of stock market indices that have
been testing or moving above their 200-day moving averages recently. Today's
gains exceeded the early-December high and a break in the recent progression
of lower rally highs would be required to question scope for a further recovery
in coming weeks.
Aluminium
(monthly, weekly
& daily), nickel (monthly,
weekly & daily)
and Tin (monthly, weekly
& daily) have similar patterns in
that all three have steadied near prior lows and broken their near-term downward
trends. Sharp setbacks, including retests of recent lows would now be required
to offset current scope for sideways to higher ranging.
Lead
(monthly, weekly
& daily) and Zinc (monthly,
weekly & daily)
are lagging, although they have lost downward momentum in recent months. Nevertheless,
breaks of the recent lows would further delay recovery prospects and rallies
are required to offset the top-heavy characteristics best seen on the monthly
charts.