My personal portfolio:
David Fuller's view I was away on
Friday but early in Asia's trading a sell-off in soybeans
triggered an in-the-money sell stop at $13.120 on the 12th against my purchase
at $12.854 on 8th November. I let too much of the profit slip away and should
have sold earlier in the day when soybeans were strong but corn and wheat were
weakening.
In a
very bad decision I pulled some platinum
stops at $1740 early last week, but left one in which was triggered at $1712
on the 12th, against my purchase at $1703.9 on 3rd November. This reduced my
position by 19% and I am significantly underwater on 59% of that position. I
remain a medium to longer term bull of platinum but not while the USD is rallying.
Clearly the big hedge fund trade had been short USD and long commodities. It
is being cut back sharply and this will create another opportunity, although
perhaps not just yet. The USD may give
us the best technical clue when we see evidence that this short-covering rally
is ending.
Before
leaving the office last Thursday I placed a target purchase order for US
30-year T-Bond futures and it would have been appropriate, in addition to
symmetrical and in line with my Baby Steps sell-high-buy-low tactic, to have
simultaneously placed an overhead sell order just beneath resistance evident
on the chart. In the event, T-Bonds bounced before falling and reaching a short-covering
limit order at 127.16 for the December contract early today, against my short
sale at 131.93 on 4th November. This evening I bought back my remaining Dec
short at 125.85 against my short sale at 134.608 on 27th August. I am now hoping
for a bounce and have just asked IG to list the March 2011 contract as their
December contract expires on 26th November.
Prices
above include all spread-bet dealing costs.