My personal portfolio: Corn long reopened
David Fuller's view This
is not without risk of some profit erosion from my earlier trade as corn (weekly
& daily) is experiencing at least
a consolidation of recent strong gains near the psychological $5 level. Nevertheless,
I think the story remains bullish for grains generally, albeit always subject
to vagaries of weather, and that it is not fully understood outside the commodity
trading fraternity. Also, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke signalled yesterday that
he will do everything he can to assist economic recovery. I assume that this
means plenty of liquidity and a soft USD. I bought December corn at $5.114,
including spread-bet dealing costs, which is fractionally below where I was
stopped out on Monday. This item from Bloomberg: Corn
Takes 'Baton' From Wheat, to Lead Grain Rally, Rabobank's Gordon Says, may
be of interest. I currently hold a 4-bean salad of corn, soybeans, rice and
wheat.
Bernanke's
statement clearly provided more fuel for gold
and silver, which top the list of
commodities affected by abundant liquidity, the flipside of which is declining
purchasing power for fiat currencies. In the short term, grains are my proxy
for gold because fewer people are involved. However, the grain story is cyclical
- more will be planted next season - while precious metals remain the first
secular theme identified by Fullermoney for this millennium.
Regarding
yesterday's additional purchase of NYME crude oil, I am likely to trade this
actively, in the event of further volatile ranging.