Nasdaq Healthcare shares
Eoin Treacy's view Healthcare
is a very broad theme which encompasses everything from relatively conservative
major caps, to strong dividend paying REITS and from highly speculative new
entrants to companies at the cutting edge of innovation. Fullermoney themes
such as the growth of the global middle class, the efficiencies that continue
to evolve as a result of technological invention and the increasing attractiveness
of reliable dividend paying shares are all represented in this sector.
I used
the Chart Library's High/Lo Filter today to scan through the Nasdaq-100. It
showed that 33 of the companies have made at least a new 3-month high in the
last five days. Here are detailed instructions on how this might be achieved:
How
do I use the Chart Library's Performance Filter?
The list
is heavily skewed towards companies leveraged to the cloud computing sector
but healthcare was another dominant theme.
Technology
companies such Amazon, Juniper
Networks, Citrix Systems and some
others have become overextended relative to their 200-day MAs and appear to
be in the process of unwinding at least part of their overbought conditions.
(Also see Comment of the Day on January
6th)
Henry
Schein encountered resistance in the region of the 2007 peak in April following
a strong advance. It found support in the region of the 200-day MA from July
and hit a new all time high this month. A sustained move below $60 would now
be required to question medium-term upside potential.
Intuitive
Surgical failed to sustain the break to new highs in April and pulled back
to test the $250 area. It broke back above the 200-day MA two weeks ago and
rallied impressively last week. A sustained move below $275 would now be required
to question potential for some additional upside.
Hologic
Inc bottomed in March 2009 and has sustained a progression of higher to
equal reaction lows since. It is now testing the April high near $20 and, while
somewhat overextended relative to the MA, a sustained move below $17 would be
needed to check potential for a successful upward break.
Patterson
Cos. Inc manufactures dental and veterinary equipment. It retested its "flash
crash" low in September but has since rallied and is now retesting its
April peak. A clear downward dynamic would be required to check momentum beyond
a brief pause.
Pharmaceutical
Product Development completed a first step above its base last week and
is improving on that performance this week. A sustained move below $25 would
be required to question its considerable recovery potential.
Vertex
Pharmaceutical retested its 2006 and 2007 highs early last year before pull
back to range above $30. It rallied impressively three weeks ago and a sustained
move below $35 would be required to check potential for additional upside.
All of
the above companies fall into a growth category. A more conservative option
is the Worldwide Healthcare Investment Trust
which is currently trading at discount to NAV of 6%. It holds a number of dividend
aristocrats such as Johnson & Johnson, Novartis and Roche in its top-10
holdings. The trust encountered resistance near 700p from April 2010, found
support in the region of the 200-day MA on a number of occasions since and hit
a new high in December. A sustained move below the trend mean would be required
to check scope for further upside.
Also
see yesterday's piece on US Healthcare REITS.