Nasdaq shares
Eoin Treacy's view The Nasdaq-100
pulled back sharply from its January high but found support above the 200-day
moving average and continues to rally back to test the peak near1900. A sustained
move below 1780 would now be required to question scope for further higher to
lateral ranging.
Using
the Chart Library's High/Low filter, I ascertained that 31 shares in the Index
are posting at least new 3-month highs and 6 of these are posting new all-time
highs. Here is a list of the results.
I was
intrigued by these figures and decided to click through the constituents of
the Index. I did this by putting all the members of the Index into a section
in my Favourites and used the 'View All Charts' feature which tiles 7 charts
to a page to quickly move through the array.
Also
see Comment of the Day on October
15th 2009 and July
21st 2009 both of which have now been released into the public archive following
the customary four-month delay.
It became
obvious that pharmaceutical, retail and technology shares dominated the leaders.
I used a 5-year candle chart with a 200-day exponential moving average for my
first click through, but there were nearly 40 charts I thought of as interesting.
This was unworkable for the purposes of my analysis so I widened the date range.
Since the Nasdaq peaked a decade ago, I decided to look at 20-year weekly charts
in order to gain some additional perspective.
Altera
Corp bottomed in 2002 and has been ranging mostly above $15 since 2003.
It is now testing the upper side of the nearly 7-year base and while a little
overextended in the short-term a sustained move below $20.50 would be required
to limit scope for a successful upward break over the medium term.
Citrix
Systems also bottomed in 2002 and built a base mostly below $40 until December
when it broke upwards. It has been consolidating below the 2006 and 2007 highs
since January and a sustained move back below $40 would be required to question
potential for additional upside over the medium term.
Check
Point Software Technology completed its base in August, consolidated in
the region of the upper side for a couple of months and rallied smartly to near
$35. It is currently consolidating this advance in a relatively steady mean
reversion and a sustained move below $30 would be required to question potential
for further medium-term upside.
Vertex
Pharmaceuticals rallied impressively in 2005 before hitting a medium-term
peak near $40. It has been consolidating this move since and plotted a progression
of higher reaction lows since March 2008. A sustained below $36 would be required
to question medium-term upside potential.
Juniper
Networks remains in a long-term base and needs to sustain a move above $32
to indicate a return to medium-term demand dominance.
Oracle
broke upwards to a new recovery high in December, found support in the region
of the previous peak in January and would need to sustain a move below $22 to
question scope for further medium-term upside.
Both
Apple and Amazon
recently found support in the region of prior highs and would need to sustain
moves below their February lows to question potential for additional higher
to lateral ranging.