Packaging
Eoin Treacy's view As
supermarket chains such as Wal-Mart, Tesco, Ahold, Casino Guichard, Dairy Farm
International among others expand their operations internationally, demand for
the goods they stock their shelves with has also been on a growth trajectory.
This has translated into impressive performances by the packaged foods, drinks,
cosmetics, household products and toiletries sectors over the last few years.
This has been a central theme among the Autonomies. Since every product that
is sold to a consumer must come in some form of packaging this has driven growth
in related sectors.
US
listed 3M, International
Paper, Bemis, MeadWestvaco,
Rock-Tenn and Packaging
Corp of America completed decade-long ranges in the last few months and
continue to extend their respective breakouts. While they are becoming progressively
more overextended relative to the trend mean, breaks in their progressions of
higher reaction lows would be required to confirm mean reversion is underway.
UK listed Rexam and Mondi
PLC have rallied particularly well over the last month but are also susceptible
to mean reversion. Australia's Brambles
and Amcor completed multi-year ranges
in January and are currently pulling back towards their respective means.
The
above shares represent sector leadership because they completed lengthy ranges
first. There are also a number of additional companies which are only now in
the process of breaking out. Crown Holdings
and Aptargroup have returned to test
their 2011 highs. Silgan Holdings broke
out last week.
Illinois
Tool Works and Ball Corp has pulled
back to test the region of their 200-day MAs where they have found at least
short-term support. Sustained moves below their trend means would be required
to question the consistency of their respective medium-term uptrends.