Porsche Cayenne in China Surges on 30% SUV Delivery Rise: Cars
China's super-luxury SUV market, defined by J.D. Power as those costing more than 1 million yuan ($154,700), will expand at a 17 percent annual rate over the next four years, according to a report this month.
Stuttgart, Germany-based Porsche delivered 8,612 Cayennes in 2010, 14 percent more than the previous year, according to data from the company. Prices start at 893,000 yuan in China.
Daimler AG's Mercedes-Benz SUV sales more than doubled in the first five months to 21,275 vehicles, the company said June 9. Mercedes may start assembling the GLK SUV in China as early as this year, Daimler Chief Executive Officer Dieter Zetsche said in Shanghai in April.
Great Wall Motor Co.'s Hover, whose basic 1.3-liter model starts at 43,900 yuan, was the best-selling SUV model in the first five months, according to the automakers group. The Baoding, China-based carmaker plans to add larger SUVs cater to demand for more spacious models, said Shang Yugui, deputy general manager of sales.
Eoin Treacy's view China
surpassed the USA in annual car sales last year. This sector acts as a useful
template to examine how Chinese and Indian companies are competing in a market
traditionally dominated by US, European and Japanese brands. In the upper end
of the market where price is a badge of honour rather than a bargaining tool,
German manufactures continue to dominate. At the lower end of the scale where
price is one of the most important factors Chinese brands are competing effectively
both at home and increasingly abroad. The mid-tier sector is perhaps most competitive
and is where the most diversity of performance is evident.
BMW
has been among the clear leaders in the automotive sector. It accelerated to
a peak near €65 by December and entered a period of mean reversion, finding
support near €55 in March. It hit a new closing high yesterday and a clear
downward dynamic would be required to check medium-term scope for additional
upside. Volkswagen hit a new recovery high
this week.
Fiat's
acceleration to its late January peak was capped with a weekly key reversal.
It found support in the region of the 200-day MA and continues to advance. Daimler
has paused in the region of the 200-day MA since March and bounced from that
area again this week. A sustained move back above €53 would help to confirm
the return of medium-term demand dominance. Porsche
continues to form a first step above the 2009/10 base and recently firmed above
€40. A sustained move below that level would be required to check potential
for some additional upside.
Greatwall
Motors found support in the region of HK$10 last week and extended the rebound
this week. The medium-term upside can continue to be given the benefit of the
doubt provided it continues to find support in the region of HK$10. Dongfeng
Motor Group has been consolidating in the region of the 200-day MA since
late December and a sustained move below HK$12 would be required to check medium-term
upside potential. Shanghai Automobile
has been ranging below CNY20 since early 2010 and has held a progression of
higher reaction lows since July. It rallied well this week and a sustained move
below CNY16 would be required to check medium scope for additional upside. Geely
Automobile accelerated out of a lengthy base in 2009 but has since entered
a volatile ranging phase and lost much of its medium-term uptrend consistency.
Nissan
Motor Co. is the best performing major Japanese producers having rallied
to test the upper side of its 18-month range. Honda
Motor pulled back sharply following the tsunami and subsequently steadied
somewhat but has not rallied meaningfully. Suzuki
has posted a progression of lower rally highs for the last 18 months but has
steadied in the ¥1650 are for the last six months. Toyota
Motor remains within a 30-month base formation. Mitsubishi
Motors remains in a five-year downtrend and will need to sustain a move
above the 200-day MA to check the decline.
Tata
Motors has pulled back below the 200-day MA, in a clear trend inconsistency.
While prices are somewhat oversold in the short term and there is scope for
a relief rally, technical damage has been done and a sustained move above INR1200
would be required to indicate a return to medium-term demand dominance. This
section from a short report
posted on Bloomberg which may be of interest:
While
we expect moderation in the domestic commercial vehicle segment, the volume
outlook remains strong at Jaguar Land Rover (which constitutes nearly 65% of
Tata Motors' EBITDA), driven by the continued strong demand from China &
other emerging markets and the expected launch of Range Rover's Evoque in September
2011.
Muruti
Suzuki of India has posted a progression of lower rally highs since October
and extended the decline this week. A clear upward dynamic would be required
to check the medium-term downtrend.
Ford
Motor has also experienced a loss of uptrend consistency similar to Tata
Motors above. General Motors has been trending
lower since hitting a post IPO peak near $40. It will need to break the progression
of lower rally highs to question the consistency of the downtrend.
Hyundai
Motor Corp remains in a consistent uptrend where reactions have been one
above another and of similar size. It is currently testing the lower side of
the most recent range and a clear upward dynamic would be required to indicate
demand is returning in this area. Even if the share finds support in this area
some additional time is likely required before an additional push to the upside
can be supported by underlying trading. Kia
Motors hit a medium-term peak near KRW80,000 and has posted the largest
reaction to date in the course of the 30-month uptrend. It will need to find
support in the region of the MA, currently near KRW60,000 if the medium-term
uptrend is to continue to be given the benefit of the doubt.
Peugeot
Citroen found support at the lower side of its six-month range and the 200-day
MA over the last week and a sustained move below €26.50 would be required
to check medium-term scope for some additional upside. Renault
has a relatively similar pattern but underperformed somewhat.
In the
heavy goods vehicles sector both Isuzu
and Volvo share a relatively similar pattern,
defined by a medium-term progression of higher reaction lows which would need
to be broken to question medium-term uptrend consistency.