Obama Reads Iran Better Than His Critics
Comment of the Day

July 20 2015

Commentary by David Fuller

Obama Reads Iran Better Than His Critics

My thanks to a subscriber for this Financial Times article which also appeared on Salon.  Here is a latter section:

Many Republican candidates are promising to rescind the Iran deal on “day one” of their presidency. Diplomatic norms prevent Mr Obama from pointing out that Iran is a more promising candidate for peaceful change than Saudi Arabia. Unlike that country, Iran has a quasi-democracy. About half of its university graduates are female. There are competing power centres within Iran’s theological regime. Prospects for further relaxation are easy to imagine. By contrast, the House of Saud rests on brittle foundations. Who dares guess what would come after it? Iran is a natural counterbalance to Saudi Arabia’s Wahhabi theocracy. As a non-Arab country, it is incapable of dominating the Middle East. There is also the small matter of how to defeat Isis. Without Iran’s help, the US would be in far worse straits.

There are moments when US presidents take risks that alter the world as we know it. Ronald Reagan’s friendship with Mikhail Gorbachev is one instance. Richard Nixon’s opening to China is another. Mr Obama’s deal with Iran is almost as breathtaking in its scope.

It is quite possible that it will fail. But if it unravels it should be because of Iran, not Congress. It would be a self-inflicted defeat for the US to torpedo its most significant act of diplomacy in a generation.

David Fuller's view

Here is the FT article.

The Vienna agreement is about so much more than US politics.  Moreover, it is a small risk to see if it works.  However, if it fails because of Iran, the US can quickly reintroduce even tougher sanctions. 

(See also last week’s postings on this subject.)

 

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