Email of the day on the 10-year - 3-month yield curve spread
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March 18 2020

Commentary by Eoin Treacy

Email of the day on the 10-year - 3-month yield curve spread

the 10yr-3mth graph for US Treasury bills....is it available in the Chart Library? What is its Bloomberg symbol? Thanks in advance for any info.

Eoin Treacy's view

Thank you for this question. If you go to the Chart Library you will now find this spread using “yield curve spread” as your search parameter.

The fact it was inverted for much of last year and is now surging through 50 basis points is about the most reliable near-term indicator of impending recession we have.

It is very likely a spike in unemployment over coming weeks will confirm the signal.

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