“We are committed to restoring price stability, and all of the evidence says that the public has confidence that we will do so,” Chair Jerome Powell said at a press conference following the Fed’s two-day meeting. “It is important that we sustain that confidence with our actions as well as our words.”

Officials are prepared to raise rates higher if needed, he said.

Powell also emphasized the US banking system is sound and resilient, reiterating what officials said in their post-meeting statement, and said the agency is prepared to use all of its tools to maintain stability.

He also acknowledged recent banking turmoil is “likely to result in tighter credit conditions for households and businesses, which would in turn affect economic outcomes,” but added, “It’s too soon to tell how monetary policy should respond.”

Fed policymakers projected rates would end 2023 at about 5.1%, unchanged from their median estimate from the last round of forecasts in December. The median 2024 projection rose to 4.3% from 4.1%.

Eoin Treacy's view

The Fed raised rates as expected and left the door open to hiking further. The bond market continues to expect rate cuts before the end of the year. That implies inflationary pressures are expected to contract significantly this year. That entails higher unemployment and a recession risk.

The Regional Banks ETF has not rebounded and is unlikely to as the respective banks withdraw from making credit available.

The clear risk for the wider stock market is the yield curve will steepen sharply in response to weaker economic growth and that will lead a panicky response by the Fed to cut rates aggressively in response.

I continue to believe the epicentre of risk resides in the alternative assets and commercial property sectors. Brookfield Corp, one of the most successful investors in commercial property continues to trend lower.