S&P 500 Banks Index
Eoin Treacy's view The Index
is currently testing the upper side of the more than three-year range and has
held a progression of higher reaction lows for a year. It would need to sustain
a move below 150 to question potential for a successful upward break. Against
a background where investors are expressing renewed interest in the financial
sector I thought it would be instructive to highlight related shares which are
currently outperforming.
Wells
Fargo hit a new 3-year high last week and a clear downward dynamic would
be required to check medium-term scope for additional upside. Capital
One Financial and American Capital Strategies
share a similar chart pattern. M&T Bank
has returned to test the upper side of the two-year range and a sustained move
above $90 would signal a return to medium-term demand dominance.
U.S.
Bancorp found support in the region of the upper side of the underlying
range in June and has since moved to new highs. A sustained move below the 200-day
MA, currently near $30 would be required to question medium-term scope for additional
upside. American Express has been ranging
above the 2011 congestion area since March and a sustained move below $53 would
be required to question medium-term scope for additional upside. Mastercard
continues to consolidate above the 200-day MA and a sustained move below it
would be required to question the consistency of the medium-term uptrend.
Discover
Financial continues to hit new highs and while it is becoming increasingly
overextended relative to the 200-day MA, a sustained move below $32 would be
required to question medium-term scope for additional upside. Visa
has a similar pattern.
Natural Gas Declines on Outlook for Break in Eastern U.S.
Heat – This article by Naureen S.
Malik for Bloomberg may be of interest to subscribers. Here is a section: