Singapore
Eoin Treacy's view Singapore's Strait Times Index found
support in the region of the 200-day MA three weeks ago and has since rallied
impressively to post a new high for the year. It is somewhat overbought in the
short-term and some consolidation of recent gains is likely, but a sustained
move below 2940 would be required to question medium-term scope for further
upside.
The
financial sector has been outperforming
since December 2011 and continues to trend higher on a relative
basis. In absolute terms, the sector hit a new four-year high this week following
an impressive three week rally. Some consolidation of recent gains appears likely,
but a sustained move below the 200-day MA would be required to question medium-term
scope for further upside. (Also see Comment of the Day on July
4th) United Overseas Bank has returned
to test the upper side of its two-year range but will need to sustain a move
above S$20 to confirm a return to medium-term demand dominance.
Fraser
and Neave (1.9%) rallied impressively since July but has lost momentum somewhat
and is overextended relative to the 200-day MA. A reversion towards the mean
is looking increasingly likely.
Dairy
Farm International Holdings (1.71%) is a constituent of the Jardine group
of companies and is also listed in the UK. The share found support in the region
of the 200-day MA from November and a sustained move below S$10.40 would be
required to question the consistency of the medium-term uptrend. Jardine
Strategic Holdings found support in the region of the 200-day MA three weeks
ago and remains in a consistent uptrend.
Raffles
Medical Group is also worthy of mention as one of the world's most prominent
medical tourism companies. The share has been confined to a range since November
2010 but has held an upward bias since May and moved above the psychological
S$2.50 area last week. While there is still some room for consolidation, a sustained
move below S$2.40 would be required to question medium-term scope for continued
upside. (Also see Comment of the Day on July
13th)
Among
developers Capitaland is representative
and is becoming increasingly overextended relative to the 200-day MA. The first
clear downward dynamic is likely to signify a peak of least short-term and potentially
medium-term significance.
In
the telecoms and telecom services sectors Starhub
(5.22%), Singapore Telecom (4.7%)
and Mobile One (5.29%) all found support
in the region of the 200-day MA three weeks ago. They all now have room for
some consolidation but sustained moves below their respective 200-day MAs would
be required to check medium-term scope for continued higher to lateral ranging.