Sony's $100 Billion Lost Decade Supports Loeb Breakup
While a weaker yen, box-office successes like “Skyfall” and the sale of its New York headquarters helped return Sony to its first profit in five years, the company's valuation has still lagged behind its historical highs and its peers.
Sony trades at a 5 percent discount to the value of its net assets, compared with an average price-book ratio of about 2.8 for consumer electronics makers with market capitalizations exceeding $1 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Sony's enterprise value of 2.2 trillion yen is 4.2 times the average of analysts' estimates for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization this year, the data show. The company's peers trade at an average of about 8.9 times. The value of Sony's entertainment division -- which makes the “Spider-Man” movies through its Culver City, California-based Sony Pictures and also represents music artists including Grammy winner Adele -- isn't being realized in the company's current structure, said Michael Souers, an equity analyst at
Standard & Poor's.
Eoin Treacy's view Sony was seen as emblematic of Japan's rise
and has suffered more than most from deteriorating governance and the strength
of the Yen. The concurrent rationalisation of some of its units and the weakness
of the Yen may well be the catalysts for changing investor perceptions of upside
potential. As one of Japan's most high profile exporters, the company will continue
to see its competitiveness improve as the Yen weakens, not least against the
Korean Won and US
Dollar.
The
share bottomed in November near ¥770,
and has held a progression of higher reaction lows since. It broke out of its
most recent short-term range last week and a sustained move below ¥1800
would be required to begin to question recovery potential. (Also see Comment
of the Day on December
18th and subsequently)