Spanish, Italian Notes Surge on ECB-Driven Demand; Bunds Rise
ECB President Mario Draghi announced the plan to offer lenders unlimited funds for three years after the central bank's policy meeting on Dec. 8. Spain sold almost double its initial maximum target of securities at an auction yesterday.
“The ECB intervention is supporting banks, and that's positive,” said Peter Schaffrik, head of European rates strategy at RBC Capital Markets in London. “The supply is out of the way, so that's contributing to an improvement in sentiment.”
Italian two-year note yields fell toward 5 percent, a level last reached on Nov. 1. The nation's lower house of parliament started voting on a 30 billion-euro ($39 billion) budget plan, and the government has requested a confidence vote in the Chamber of Deputies.
Eoin Treacy's view If anything, sentiment has deteriorated over the last few weeks. Pundits are
openly talking about a breakup of the Euro, a pattern of deleveraging has gripped
the commodity markets, uncertainty as to the exact text of the fiscal treaty
is a persistent factor and volatility remains high. However the various government
bond spreads suggest a more nuanced story is unfolding.
The
only country where unrelenting selling is still evident is Greece.
10-year spreads at 3300 basis points over German Bunds stand in sharp contrast
to most other countries where spreads have narrowed, some quite considerably
this week. Portuguese spreads remain
in a consistent medium-term advance but pulled back somewhat this week. An additional
decline will be required to indicate more than a temporary respite. The Irish
market remains quiet at least in part because the Irish government has no need
to return to the bond markets potentially until 2013.
Spanish
and Italian spreads pulled back sharply
from their respective pre-convergence peaks: posting their largest reactions
in more than a decade in the process. Belgian,
French, Austrian,
Dutch and Finnish
spreads also pulled back sharply.