Today's interesting charts
Comment of the Day

February 23 2010

Commentary by Eoin Treacy

Today's interesting charts

so called 'risk assets' pulled back today with corresponding strength in the US Dollar. Clicking on the 'View All Charts' tab on any of the Chart Library's menus will allow subscribers to skim through markets of interest.

Eoin Treacy's view Spain - downward dynamic as the Index encounters resistance below the 200-day moving average. A sustained move back above 11,000 is now required to question scope for further downside. The DJ Euro Stoxx Banks Index has a similar pattern.

UK FTSE-100 - rallied impressively from 5000 three weeks ago but posted a downside key day reversal today. The medium-term upside can continue to be given the benefit of the doubt provided it holds above that area. The FTSE-350 Banks Index has rallied to test the five-month progression of incrementally lower rally highs and needs to sustain a move above 5000 to indicate the demand has returned to dominance.

S&P500 - found support above the psychological 1000 level four weeks ago and would need to sustain a move below that level to question scope for further ranging below the recent recovery high near 1150.

Germany - The Index posted a downside weekly key reversal from the region of 6000 in January to cap the advance in the medium-term. It has since pulled back to test the November low which coincides with the 200-day moving average and a sustained move below 5400 would be required to suggest a lengthier correction is unfolding.

Denmark - a second downside key day reversal from the region of 360 this month suggests a new closing high is now required to reaffirm the uptrend and offset scope for a retest of at least 340.

Taiwan - bounced well from the region of the 200-day moving average but needs to sustain the advance to retain recovery potential. A sustained move below 7200 would break the progression of higher lows, push back into the previous June - September range and likely signal a lengthier corrective phase is unfolding.

Copper - encounters resistance below the below the January high near 350¢ and needs to consolidate above 275¢ to sustain the medium-term bullish outlook

Palladium - downside key day reversal from the region of the psychological $450 and needs to sustain a move above that area to indicate demand is returning to dominance.

US Dollar per 1 Euro - The Euro falls back to retest $1.35 while it has experienced some loss of downside momentum it needs a move above $1.38 to check the decline beyond a brief pause.

In conclusion, a large number of stock market indices and industrial commodities have unwound short-term oversold conditions and bounced from their 200-day moving averages this month. They will need to find support above their most recent reaction lows if the best case scenario of a reassertion of their medium-term uptrends is to remain credible.

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