Today's interesting charts
Comment of the Day

September 12 2011

Commentary by Eoin Treacy

Today's interesting charts

Here are some charts which may prove useful in monitoring the current situation as it evolves.

Eoin Treacy's view EUR 3-month Libor - Eurozone 3-month yields - this spread continues to expand and is now testing the 100 basis point level, reflecting the premium demanded by Eurozone banks to lend to each other.

DJ Euro Stoxx Banks - continues to accelerate lower and the short-term progression of lower rally highs will need to be broken, with a sustained move above 120, to question the consistency of the decline.

Dow Jones Industrials - The number of days where stock market indices move 3 or 4% in either direction have become more the norm than the exception over the last month. In such a volatile environment it is easy to become bullish at the upper side of the short-term range and bearish at the lower side.

If we stick to the chart facts, the Dow Jones Industrials hit a near-term low in early August, ranged with a relatively mild upward bias, but encountered resistance in the region of the 200-day MA two weeks ago and broke the short-term progression of higher reaction lows on Friday. This raises potential for a retest of the lows near 10,600. A sustained move above 11,700 is now the minimum requirement to begin to indicate demand is returning to medium-term dominance.

Asian Dollar Index - breaks the progression of higher reaction lows as it pulls back to test potential support in the region of the 200-day MA. A clear upward dynamic will be required to signal a return of the demand in this area and to question current scope for additional downside.

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