Today's interesting charts
Eoin Treacy's view EUR 3-month
Libor - Eurozone 3-month yields - this
spread continues to expand and is now
testing the 100 basis point level, reflecting the premium demanded by Eurozone
banks to lend to each other.
DJ Euro
Stoxx Banks -
continues to accelerate lower and the
short-term progression of lower rally highs will need to be broken, with a sustained
move above 120, to question the consistency of the decline.
Dow Jones
Industrials - The
number of days where stock market indices move 3 or 4% in either direction have
become more the norm than the exception over the last month. In such a volatile
environment it is easy to become bullish at the upper side of the short-term
range and bearish at the lower side.
If we
stick to the chart facts, the Dow Jones
Industrials hit a near-term low in early August, ranged with a relatively
mild upward bias, but encountered resistance in the region of the 200-day
MA two weeks ago and broke the short-term progression of higher reaction
lows on Friday. This raises potential for a retest of the lows near 10,600.
A sustained move above 11,700 is now the minimum requirement to begin to indicate
demand is returning to medium-term dominance.
Asian
Dollar Index - breaks
the progression of higher reaction lows as it pulls back to test potential support
in the region of the 200-day MA. A clear upward dynamic will be required to
signal a return of the demand in this area and to question current scope for
additional downside.