Today's interesting charts
David Fuller's view China's
Shanghai A-Shares Index formed a potentially important upside
key day reversal today, near the September low. Upside follow through tomorrow
would provide additional evidence that China's
A-Shares are in a support building phase prior to a significant recovery.
The
Philippines Manila Composite Index (weekly
& daily) remains one of the world's
strongest stock markets, having ranged near its highs during Wall Street's recent
correction and resuming the overall advance yesterday and again today. While
somewhat overextended relative to its 200-day MA, a close beneath 5400 would
currently be required to indicate some mean reversion.
Japan's
Nikkei 225 Index (weekly & daily)
has surged back to the upper side of its range since June. A clear downward
dynamic would be required to reaffirm more than temporary resistance near current
levels; however, this is unlikely given the overvalued yen's weakening trend,
shown here in reverse against the US dollar which remains a soft currency except
during global crises USD/JPY (weekly
& daily). Fullermoney has long
maintained that a significantly weaker yen, which we should now see as the BoJ's
hard money advocates are being replaced and will be entirely out of office by
next April, was required to end Japan's deflation and underpin a major stock
market recovery. As a relevant aside, Fullermoney's view is that a hard currency
is commendable, provided that most other countries and particularly one's commercial
rivals are not mostly devaluing their currencies, as we see today.
The
Euro STOXX Bank Index (weekly &
daily) and the Euro STOXX 50 Index
(weekly & daily)
have firmed within their current ranges while retaining most of their recovery
from the July and June lows, respectively, during what appears to be a consolidation.
Closes beneath 100 for the Banks Index and 2400 for the Shares Index, respectively,
would be required to question our current hypothesis that the current ranges
will support higher levels over the medium term.
Note also the firmness of precious metals. I reviewed them most recently on
Monday and will do so again before the end of this week.