Today's interesting charts
Eoin Treacy's view Greek
10yr yields -
holding in the region of 9.5% and a
downward dynamic, sustained for more than a few days would be required to check
momentum.
Portugal
10yr yields -
breaks upwards to new almost 10-year
highs. A downward dynamic would also be required here to check momentum beyond
a brief pause.
Ireland
10yr yields - rallies
to break the 16-month downtrend and a sustained move back below 4.75% would
be required to limit potential for some additional upside. The Irish
stock market posted a large downward dynamic from the region of the September
high which caps the advance in at least the short term. The Index will now need
to find support above or in the region of 3000 to sustain the medium-term bullish
outlook.
Shanghai
A-Shares -
testing the psychological 3000
level but needs to sustain a move back above 3350 to indicate demand has regained
the upper hand.
Euro
Stoxx Banks Index -
heavily weighted by Spanish banks, posts
another lower high and would need to sustain a move above 220 to question scope
for additional downside.
S&P500
Diversified Financials - fails
to sustain the upward break to new recovery highs which makes a retest of the
lower side of the previous range, somewhere in the region of 300, more likely.
A sustained move to new recovery highs would be required to offset this potential.
S&P500
- second
downward dynamic in less than 10 days
marks at least a loss of short-term momentum and probably indicates the onset
of reversionary process towards the ascending mean, defined by the 200-day moving
average.
France
- continues
to encounter resistance in the region
of the psychological 4000 and the December high. A sustained move to new recovery
highs is now needed to reassert the medium-term uptrend and offset scope for
some further retracement of recent gains.
Copper
-
fails to sustain the break above the psychological
$3.50 and needs to find support above or in the region of $3 to sustain the
medium-term bullish outlook.
Dollar Index - rallies
to test the upper side of the 1-month range and a countermanding downward dynamic
would be required to question potential for some additional upside.
Gold
- pushing
back up to retest this month's high and
a sustained move back below $1150 would be required to limit potential for additional
upside.
US 30yr
Treasuries -
rallies to break the short-term progression
of lower highs and a countermanding downward dynamic would be required to question
scope for further upside.
German
10yr Bunds -
testing last year's highs near 126 and
a downward dynamic would be required to hinder potential for some additional
upside.
In conclusion,
continued worries stemming from China's tightening, Mediterranean debt issues
and Goldman Sachs being pursued by the SEC have contributed to heightened anxiety.
Traditional safe havens such as the Dollar, Treasuries and gold have are all
rallying which suggests that profits are being taken in risk assets and raises
the potential that a another mean reversion correction may be unfolding.